Hurricane Season Outlook: National Weather Service Predicts Above-Average Activity

The National Weather Service has released its annual hurricane season outlook, predicting an above-average season with 14-19 named storms and 6-10 hurricanes expected to form in the Atlantic Basin. This prediction is based on various climate factors, including the ongoing La Niña event, which is expected to continue into the summer months. The National Weather Service also predicts that 3-6 of the hurricanes will be major, meaning they will reach Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and runs through November 30. The National Weather Service urges residents in hurricane-prone areas to prepare for the season by reviewing their emergency plans, stocking up on supplies, and staying informed about the latest weather forecasts. The agency also reminds residents that it only takes one storm to make it a bad season, and that preparation is key to staying safe. In addition to the Atlantic Basin, the National Weather Service also predicts an above-average season in the Eastern Pacific, with 15-20 named storms and 8-12 hurricanes expected to form. The agency notes that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a neutral phase, which can lead to increased hurricane activity in the Atlantic. The National Weather Service also predicts that the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) will be in a favorable phase for hurricane development during the peak months of the season. The agency reminds residents that hurricane season is not just about the number of storms, but also about the impact they can have on communities. The National Weather Service is urging residents to take the necessary precautions to protect themselves and their property. This includes having a plan in place in case of an evacuation, stocking up on food and water, and having a battery-powered radio and flashlights on hand. The agency also reminds residents to stay informed about the latest weather forecasts and warnings, and to follow the instructions of local authorities. The National Weather Service is also working to improve its forecasting capabilities, including the use of new satellite technology and advanced computer models. The agency is also partnering with other organizations, such as the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), to provide resources and support to communities affected by hurricanes. In terms of specific predictions, the National Weather Service is expecting the first named storm of the season to form in the Atlantic Basin in late June or early July. The agency is also predicting that the peak months of the season, August and September, will see the most activity. The National Weather Service is urging residents to stay vigilant and to be prepared for the unexpected. The agency notes that hurricane season is a time of uncertainty, and that it is impossible to predict with certainty which storms will develop and where they will go. However, by staying informed and taking the necessary precautions, residents can reduce their risk and stay safe. The National Weather Service is committed to providing the latest and most accurate information to help residents prepare for and respond to hurricanes. The agency is also working to improve its communication and outreach efforts, including the use of social media and other digital platforms. Overall, the National Weather Service is predicting an above-average hurricane season, and is urging residents to take the necessary precautions to stay safe. The agency reminds residents that preparation is key, and that it is never too early to start preparing for the season. By staying informed and taking the necessary precautions, residents can reduce their risk and stay safe during the upcoming hurricane season.

Source